Russia is preparing for oil prices to fall to $40 per barrel due to an oversupply, China’s economic slowdown, and increased oil production by OPEC+ countries, according to Ukraine’s Foreign Intelligence Service.
Global oil prices could drop to $40–50 per barrel in late 2025 to early 2026, the Russian Roscongress Foundation notes in its report. Intelligence sources recalled that a barrel currently costs $66–68, but the market is facing “a new price war.”
“The OPEC+ oil deal is falling apart: Saudi Arabia is ramping up oil production, creating an oversupply. Shale exporters are also rapidly increasing drilling despite the price,” the intelligence service explained.
Additional pressure on the market comes from China’s economic slowdown, as well as increased oil exports from Brazil, Guyana, and Norway. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks, which previously pushed prices up by several dollars, now have almost no impact. As a result, global oil supply is growing faster than demand.
The fourth LNG carrier involved in transporting liquefied natural gas from the sanctioned Arctic LNG-2 project has arrived at the Beihai LNG terminal in China, Reuters reported, citing LSEG data. The LNG tanker Buran is currently at the port of Tieshan, located in China’s Guangxi region, according to vessel tracking data. The first delivery from […]
Austria has won the right to block financing for Hungary’s Paks II nuclear power plant, which is being built by the Russian state corporation Rosatom. This is confirmed by a ruling of the EU Court of Justice. The EU Court annulled a decision of the EU General Court and declared invalid the European Commission’s approval […]
In August, Russia’s economy recorded its lowest revenues from raw material exports in all three years of the full-scale war in Ukraine, according to data from the Finnish analytical center CREA. On average, exports of oil, gas, petroleum products, and coal brought Russia €564 million per day — 2% less than in July and 11% […]
The decline in Russia-China trade, which began in 2025 for the first time since the start of the war in Ukraine, continues to accelerate, Reuters reports. In August, China’s purchases of Russian goods collapsed by 17.8% year-on-year, according to Chinese customs data. Shipments of Chinese goods to Russia fell by 16.4%. Overall bilateral trade dropped […]
The port of Primorsk on the Baltic Sea, which handles over a quarter of Russia’s crude oil exports, has suspended shipments, Reuters reported, citing informed sources. According to media reports, the country’s largest oil terminal, with a capacity of more than 1 million barrels per day, came under a drone strike on the night of […]
The Verkhovna Rada has approved a presidential decree on the compulsory seizure in Ukraine of property owned by the Russian Federation, MP Oleksiy Honcharenko from the European Solidarity faction announced on his Telegram channel. “The Rada approved the president’s decree on the seizure of 1,592 railway cars belonging to Russian residents,” the lawmaker wrote. Bill […]
China’s Heihe Rural Commercial Bank, which came under EU sanctions, has stopped accepting payments from Russia, Russian media report. The information was confirmed by sources at two Russian banks and four importers facing the issue. Heihe Rural Commercial Bank had been among the last Chinese lenders willing to open correspondent accounts for Russian financial institutions […]
Diamonds from Russia continue to enter EU and U.S. markets despite G7 and EU sanctions against Alrosa — Russia’s largest producer and one of the world’s leading players in the industry. This was reported by journalists from OCCRP (Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project) along with several European media outlets. Armenia has become the key […]
The Deposit Guarantee Fund of individuals introduced a temporary administration in “Fidobank”. It is reported by the press service of the Fund. The decision was made on the base of the decision of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) on May 20 to classify “Fidobank” to the category of the insolvent. Earlier, “Fidobank” reported about […]
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