JP Morgan Predicts Oil Could Fall to $30

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JP Morgan Predicts Oil Could Fall to $30

28.11.2025 News

Analysts at JP Morgan forecast that Brent oil prices could drop to $30 per barrel by 2027 due to an oversupply in the market, Oilprice reports.

Since the beginning of the year, Brent has fallen by 14% and was trading around $62.59 per barrel early Monday. The market is currently awaiting updates on renewed peace negotiations regarding Ukraine.

The United States and Ukraine held “highly productive” talks in Geneva and agreed to continue working on a refined peace plan that Washington proposed last week.

For now, despite concerns about oversupply, analysts and investment banks do not expect oil prices to fall below $40 in the near term, although the market may temporarily decline due to large supply volumes from OPEC+ and non-OPEC producers, especially from the United States.

Peace in Ukraine could also affect energy prices, as some sanctions against Russia may be eased.

According to Goldman Sachs, oil prices will continue to decline next year due to excess supply. U.S. WTI Crude could average $53 per barrel in 2026. Investors are already receiving signals to take short positions in oil, said Daan Struyven, co-head of global commodities research at Goldman Sachs.

The investment bank forecasts that oil prices will continue to fall next year, and investors should now bet on further declines.

Analysts predict that the oversupply in 2026 will be about 2 million barrels per day, while 2026 will be the last year of the major supply wave. The oil market is expected to stabilize in 2027.

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