The fall in gross of the domestic product of Ukraine in 2020 will amount to 6%, however, from the next year the economy will growth again: in 2021 – by 4%, in 2022-2023 – by 3% annually, such a forecast is contained in the report of the International Rating Agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) on the confirmation of Ukraine’s ratings at “B \/ B”.<\/p>\n
The agency expects lower inflation this year to 3% from 7.9% last year and an increase of 6% in 2021 and 5% in 2022-2023, respectively.<\/p>\n
According to agency`s estimates, the hryvnia exchange rate will drop to UAH 29 \/ $ 1 by the end of this year, by the end of the next – up to 30 UAH \/ $ 1, and by the end of 2022 and 2023 – respectively 30.5 UAH \/ $ 1 and 31 UAH \/ $ 1.<\/p>\n
According to the documents, a small devaluation of the hryvnia will be accompanied by an increase in reserves: from $ 24.77 billion at the end of last year to $ 27.73 billion at the end of this year, $ 30.19 billion by the end of next year and $ 31.39 billion by the end of 2022.<\/p>\n
Such S&P\u2019s estimates are based on the assumption that the deficit of the state budget will be reduced from 7.5% of GDP this year to 5.3% of GDP next year and 3% and 2.5% in 2022 and 2023, respectively.<\/p>\n
Meanwhile, the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine last week proposed to identify the deficit of the budget in 2021 to 6% of GDP, and in the next two years – 4.5% and 3% of GDP respectively.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":123035,"menu_order":0,"template":"","newscat":[9],"newstag":[28543,958,28444,28448,28446,28544,947,25192,28447,28445,25189],"issues":[],"class_list":["post-123034","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","newscat-novosti","newstag-economic-recession","newstag-gdp","newstag-sp","newstag-standard-poors","newstag-standard-amp-poors-2","newstag-ukraines-economy","newstag-vvp","newstag-ekonomika-ukrayini","newstag-spad-ekonomiky","newstag-spad-konomyky","newstag-ekonomika-ukrainy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ldaily.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/123034","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ldaily.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ldaily.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/news"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ldaily.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/123035"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ldaily.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=123034"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"newscat","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ldaily.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newscat?post=123034"},{"taxonomy":"newstag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ldaily.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newstag?post=123034"},{"taxonomy":"issues","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ldaily.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/issues?post=123034"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}